Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 0.000105 0.000118 0.000131 0.000146 0.000163 0.000182 0.000203
2024-10-13 0.000087 0.000103 0.000122 0.000145 0.000172 0.000204 0.000242
2024-10-20 0.000074 0.000093 0.000116 0.000146 0.000183 0.000228 0.000286
2024-10-27 0.000065 0.000086 0.000112 0.000147 0.000193 0.000252 0.000332
2024-11-03 0.000056 0.000078 0.000106 0.000145 0.000199 0.000271 0.000373
2024-11-10 0.000051 0.000073 0.000104 0.000148 0.000211 0.000298 0.000427
2024-11-17 0.000045 0.000068 0.000099 0.000147 0.000217 0.000317 0.000472
2024-11-24 0.000041 0.000064 0.000096 0.000147 0.000225 0.000340 0.000523
2024-12-01 0.000037 0.000059 0.000092 0.000146 0.000230 0.000358 0.000568
2024-12-08 0.000034 0.000055 0.000089 0.000144 0.000235 0.000376 0.000615
2024-12-15 0.000031 0.000052 0.000086 0.000144 0.000241 0.000397 0.000667
2024-12-22 0.000029 0.000050 0.000084 0.000144 0.000248 0.000418 0.000722
2024-12-29 0.000026 0.000047 0.000082 0.000145 0.000255 0.000443 0.000786
2025-01-05 0.000024 0.000044 0.000079 0.000143 0.000260 0.000462 0.000843
2025-01-12 0.000022 0.000042 0.000077 0.000144 0.000268 0.000489 0.000915
2025-01-19 0.000021 0.000041 0.000076 0.000145 0.000277 0.000518 0.000993
2025-01-26 0.000019 0.000038 0.000073 0.000143 0.000280 0.000535 0.001052
2025-02-02 0.000018 0.000037 0.000073 0.000146 0.000292 0.000571 0.001148
2025-02-09 0.000017 0.000035 0.000071 0.000145 0.000296 0.000592 0.001219
2025-02-16 0.000016 0.000034 0.000069 0.000145 0.000304 0.000620 0.001305
2025-02-23 0.000015 0.000032 0.000067 0.000144 0.000307 0.000639 0.001374
2025-03-02 0.000014 0.000030 0.000065 0.000142 0.000311 0.000661 0.001450
2025-03-09 0.000013 0.000029 0.000064 0.000142 0.000316 0.000686 0.001537